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moderndiplomacy.eu Amid escalating tariff threats, economic sanctions, disorderly payment settlements, currency and liquidity stress, and compliance-driven de-risking in an intensifying geopolitical churn, the RBI’s call for CBDC-enabled payment settlements among BRICS countries, under India’s BRICS chairmanship, is both timely and necessary. India’s pursuit of alternative payment arrangements is driven by pragmatic needs of resilience, cost efficiency, speed, and strategic autonomy, not ideology, seeking de-SWIFTing for continuity, not de-dollarization or systemic rupture.
India’s exploration of cross-border settlement through its central bank digital currency, the e-rupee, reflects a geostrategic effort to de-weaponize payment infrastructure while safeguarding monetary sovereignty. Contrary to popular narratives, this is neither a push for a common BRICS currency nor a rejection of compliance regimes, de-SWIFT, or de-compliance, but a scaled pursuit of ‘interoperability’ without ‘integration,’ soliciting measured decoding of its policy and systemic implications.
BIS mBRIDGE ledger:Given the absence of harmonization of monetary, financial, and fiscal or even trade policies among BRICS countries, the focus is on de-risking from threats of sanctions, resisting norm-agnostic financial order, and responding to hegemonistic tendencies shaping contemporary global order.
The most plausible pathway for future cross-border CBDC settlement lies in the
‘blockchain-based architecture’ conceptually like the BIS Innovation Hub’s mBridge initiative. In this model, domestic CBDC ledgers remain sovereign, ring-fenced, and balance-sheet neutral, while a neutral bridge layer, built on distributed ledger or blockchain-based coordination logic, enables payment-versus-payment (PvP) foreign exchange settlement. Such an arrangement eliminates settlement and Herstatt risk without creating a shared currency, a common ledger, or a supranational monetary authority.
Alternatively, cross-border CBDC settlements could be structured through bilateral corridors anchored in central-bank liquidity lines, with FX conversion governed by pre-agreed rules, reference rates, and corridor-specific limits.
BRICS Payment Settlement Flow ChartIndia’s experience is particularly relevant in this context. The Reserve Bank of India has already piloted Wholesale CBDC (e₹-W) and Retail CBDC (e₹-R), demonstrating ledger robustness, programmability, and interoperability within domestic financial architecture. In the wholesale context, e₹-W enables inter-bank settlement, such as government securities delivery-versus-payment, directly in central bank money. In contrast, retail CBDC transactions (P2P and P2M) settle instantaneously between digital wallets on the CBDC ledger, often without requiring traditional interbank messaging (Brazil-STR/SPB, Russia-SPFS, India-SFMS, China-CIPS, South Africa-SAMOS) for finality. This positions India to adopt a bridge-based distributed ledger model that delivers efficiency gains while avoiding exposure to a shared ledger or monetary pooling.
Policy implications:Given that the INR is not fully capital-account convertible, it is not merely improbable but also impermissible to permit unrestricted CBDC-based cross-border flows under current law. Illustratively, under FEMA, 1999 and regulations therein, every CBDC transaction must be purpose-coded (trade, investment, lending) and direction-controlled (inflows versus outflows).
Consequently, any cross-border use of the e-rupee would require programmable features embedding capital controls by design. Moreover, the e-rupee represents a direct liability of the RBI, hence allowing its cross-border circulation would increase foreign holdings of RBI liabilities and could generate monetary spillovers if not smartly and vigilantly ring-fenced. Given this frame, the likely policy stance is clear: non-resident access only within corridor-specific limits and no offshore e-rupee circulation, unlike the Eurodollar system.
CBDC corridors may facilitate transactional de-dollarization in trade settlement, but they also risk accelerating financial de-dollarization through capital mobility, posing macro-stability concerns for India. Given the INR’s limited capital-account convertibility, the RBI is structurally more comfortable with current-account trade settlement than capital or portfolio flows. Correspondingly, the policymakers need to prioritize invoice-linked trade corridors, not free-flowing financial channels with crypto-like speed in any such endeavor.
Furthermore, CBDC corridors compress settlement timelines, accelerating FX transmission. For India, this raises the sensitivity of INR liquidity to trade shocks and necessitates RBI-controlled FX windows within any bridge architecture. PvP FX rates are therefore likely to be policy-guided or band-limited, rather than fully market-determined, necessitating a mechanism like managed or dirty-float to tame INR volatility. Even as BRICS CBDC corridors are framed as SWIFT alternatives, India insists that any de-SWIFTing must retain robust compliance and transaction-level traceability, firmly de-SWIFTing, not de-compliance, given the history of ‘token-funded’ anti-national/anti-social activities against India.
Finally, as a rule-based jurisdiction, India’s policymakers must ensure that any proposed messaging infrastructure aligns with ISO 20022 business protocols for instruction flow, audit, and regulatory reporting, while the CBDC ledger is confined to value transfer and settlement finality, thereby preserving regulatory visibility without sacrificing CBDC-driven efficiency gains.
Way forwardGiven the fact that the US is increasingly using dollar-backed ‘stablecoins’ as a strategic extension of its financial power, recycling global digital liquidity into U.S. Treasuries, and reinforcing dollar dominance in new technological form. By leveraging stablecoin reserves in short-term sovereign debt, the U.S. is effectively broadening the investor base for its fiscal deficits while embedding American jurisdiction, standards, and influence into emerging payment ecosystems. This development signals that monetary hegemony is being digitally re-engineered rather than diminished.
In this context, it is imperative for BRICS countries to assert financial autonomy without fragmenting the global system. Accordingly, a blockchain-based wholesale CBDC framework offers a pragmatic response. For India, this means anchoring BRICS mBridge-type arrangements to trade settlement, avoiding capital-flow volatility while simultaneously overcoming the challenges of weaponized currencies. India’s mature payment infrastructure, SFMS, RTGS, NEFT, and NPCI platforms such as UPI and interoperable wallet ecosystems, provides a credible foundation for scalable, compliant, and sovereign interoperability.
The Reserve Bank of India should lead this effort, positioning India as a rule-based convener for the Global South. By prioritizing programmability, ISO-20022-aligned messaging, compliance safeguards, and RBI-controlled FX mechanisms, India can showcase a non-weaponized, inclusive, and development-oriented model of CBDC cooperation. This is not monetary reinvention but strategic engineering, reducing coercive exposure, diversifying settlement options, and strengthening collective resilience in an increasingly hegemonic financial order.